Tesla-SolarCity deal confronting four hurdles

It has been anything but smooth sailing for Tesla Motors and its $2.3 billion bid to buy SolarCity.

The merger, intended to advance Tesla co-founder and CEO Elon Musk’s vision of creating a renewable-energy powerhouse, has received a lukewarm reception on Wall Street and is facing legal challenges that could delay the deal. And unlike most corporate mergers, it’s not a certainty that the deal will win shareholder approval, especially at Tesla.

Here’s a look at four hurdles that the deal is facing:

 

1. Shareholder lawsuits

The deal is being challenged by four separate lawsuits. While shareholder lawsuits over mergers are common and usually don’t hold up deals, the litigation surrounding the SolarCity acquisition could be different.

Tesla warned that the lawsuits, alleging that the electric vehicle maker’s directors breached their fiduciary duty in approving the deal, could delay the acquisition in a regulatory filing Monday, contending that the cases do not have merit.

Even so, the lawsuits are likely to delay important shareholder votes on the deal until mid-October at the earliest. A hearing on the lawsuits, including one that is seeking an injunction to block the deal, won’t be held until Oct. 18, likely delaying those votes until the Delaware court takes action. Analysts had expected the shareholder votes to take place as early as next month.

 

2. SolarCity’s cash needs

SolarCity already has said that its lenders held back on providing essential financing after Tesla’s interest in buying the solar energy company was first disclosed in late June.

When SolarCity tried to raise $124 million from investors in late August, it offered an unusually high 6.5 percent interest rate on its 18-month debt offering. Even then, Musk and his cousins, SolarCity executives Lyndon and Peter Rive, ended up buying $100 million of the debt.

Its financing picture brightened last week when SolarCity raised $305 million by selling future cash flows from some of its solar projects to a hedge fund advised by billionaire George Soros and secured an 18-year loan from a syndicate of five lenders. Credit Suisse analyst Patrick Jobin estimated that the latest deal reduced SolarCity’s financing costs by almost a full percentage point, compared with a similar offering earlier this year.

SolarCity constantly needs to raise more money from investors to fund a business model that relies on selling rooftop solar energy systems to homeowners at no upfront costs.

“There is a bit more urgency for the Tesla-SolarCity deal to go through sooner so that SolarCity can get the access to capital that it needs,” Barclays analyst Brian A. Johnson said in an Aug. 31 research note, written before the latest fundraising.

 

3. Investor confidence

Stock in SolarCity, which is building a solar panel factory at RiverBend in South Buffalo, now trades for $4 a share less, or 19 percent less, than what Tesla is offering – a gap indicating that investors are uncertain the deal will be completed. If investors are confident that an acquisition will go through, the shares of both companies typically trade within a few percentage points of the price being offered.

 

4. Shareholder support

Analysts generally think Tesla shareholders will back the merger, largely because many of them believe in Musk’s long-term vision for building a company that combines solar power with electric vehicles and battery storage.

And given the gap between Tesla’s offer and SolarCity’s current stock price – $18.35 at Tuesday’s close – SolarCity shareholders are expected to approve the merger.

But approval by Tesla shareholders isn’t considered a sure thing. Some investors and analysts have raised concerns that the deal would give Tesla a company that is losing money and faces major financing needs at a time when it is in the midst of its own costly initiatives, including the rollout of its more affordable Model 3 sedan and the launch of its battery gigafactory in Nevada.

“Recent disclosures highlight SolarCity’s cash needs, which we think may cause pause among Telsa shareholders,” Morningstar analyst Andrew Bischof said.

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Tesla Shareholders File Lawsuit Over SolarCity Buyout

Tesla Motor Inc.’s proposed acquisition of American energy services provider SolarCity Corp. - worth $2.6 billion - has run into troubled waters and could be deferred.

On Monday, Sept. 19, the company revealed that SolarCity’s acquisition could potentially be delayed as Tesla shareholders had filed lawsuits. The four lawsuits against the automaker has been filed by four different shareholders over the imminent buyout and alleges that Tesla’s board members breached fiduciary duty as revealed in a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing.

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Tesla Motors: Will Senate Solar Investigation Put SolarCity Acquisition at Risk?

Yes, says Axiom Capital’s Gordon Johnson who writes that a Senate investigation into solar company tax incentives could derail Solar City’s (SCTY) merger with Tesla Motors (TSLA). He cites this Wall Street Journal article on the investigation by Brody Mullins, Ianthe Jeanne Dugan, and Richard Rubin, which details why it might be a problem: In […]

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SolarCity Raises $305 Million, but There’s a Catch

There are a couple of implications from the new financing announcement. One is that SolarCity’s funding costs are getting higher over time, meaning it’s generating less value for investors. Another is that it’s selling most of the cash flows it will get from customers, meaning there’s less and less upside potential in the future.

The flip side is that SolarCity has been able to get funding for its projects, keeping the company’s operations afloat for now. That’s a positive as SolarCity attempts to be bought out by Tesla Motors and transitions its business from financing leases and power purchase agreements to selling solar systems to customers with third-party financed loans.

The final point may be most important for those looking at the company today. If SolarCity can transition to cash sales or loans, it will generate up-front cash, lessening its reliance on financing transactions. If that’s the case, today’s rising financing costs won’t matter nearly as much as they would otherwise. But that’s a lot for a company like SolarCity to juggle, especially in the middle of a buyout process.

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Tesla’s New Lease Financing Disclosure: Who Writes This Stuff?

Beyond the minimal short-term effect of the new announced financing agreement, the fact that Tesla continues to choose every way possible to “spin” its narrative in a dissembling way is another red flag for Tesla investors. The Deutsche Bank financing agreement is just a drop in the bucket of all of the capital that Tesla will need over the next three years but the company just couldn’t resist suggesting otherwise. What’s amazing to me is that there is also not a lot more scrutiny about Tesla’s claims that its May 2016 financing was supposed to be all the capital needed to support “full production” of the Model 3 and to complete any additional investment needed for the Gigafactory.

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Believe It or Not, SpaceX’s Falcon 9 Explosion Could Be Terrible for SolarCity

SolarCity’s Sugar Daddy

You might know that SolarCity actually owns most of the hundreds of thousands of rooftop solar systems it has built. As a result, it needs billions of dollars in funding each year. So the flow of debt coming into the company is vital to its very survival.

What people might not know is that SolarCity is getting a lot of funding from SpaceX and Elon Musk and family. They’re buying hundreds of millions of dollars in solar bonds that almost no one else is interested in. Below is a table that shows the large purchases of solar bonds by SpaceX, Elon Musk, SolarCity CEO Lyndon Rive, and CTO Pater Rive over the past year-and-a-half.

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